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2023-2024 NFL Sides & O/U Systems


2023-2024 NFL Full Game Sides and Over/Under Systems

 

2023-2024 FULL GAME Sides and TOTALS systems are 15-10 vs. the numbers

 

Playoffs

 

#26, 01/15, Steelers at Bills

  • Play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points with a poor passing defense allowing a completion percentage of 60% or worse, after allowing 5.5 or less passing yards per attempt in their last game. This system is also 53-28 = 65.4% ATS the last five seasons.
  • Greg's Monday system is on the Steelers +10 @ -111.

 

#25, 01/14/24, Packers at Cowboys

  • Play against home teams with an offense that's averaging 385 or more total yards per game, after allowing 400 or more total yards per game in their last three games. This system is 26-06 = 81.2% ATS the last five seasons.
  • Greg's Sunday system is on the Packers +7.5 @ -120, (48-32,) WON.

 

#24, 01/13/24, Dolphins at Chiefs

  • From game nine out, when the total is between 42.5 and 49 points play an excellent passing team averaging 7.3 or more passing yards per attempt UNDER the total, (this applies to Miami,) when they're playing against an average passing team, allowing 5.9-6.7 passing yards per attempt. This system is 59-109 = 65% UNDER the past 10 seasons.
  • Greg's Saturday system is for the Dolphins and Chiefs UNDER the total of 44.5 @ -122, (26-07,) WON.

 

Regular Season

#23, 01/07/24, NY Jets at NE Patriots

  • After going over the total by 35 or more total points in their last three games, play against a team winning 25% to 40% of their games, (a play against the Jets.) This system is 51-22 = 70% ATS the past 10 seasons as well as 29-10 = 74% ATS the past five seasons.
  • Greg's Sunday system is on the Patriots @ -122 on the M/L, (17-03,) lost.

 

#22, 12/31/23, Saints at Buccaneers

  • Play against a revenging team off a home loss to an opponent by 14 or more points and off a road loss last week, (against the Saints.) This system is 22-03 = 88% ATS the last five seasons.
  • Greg's Sunday system is on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ -140 on the M/L, (23-13,) lost.

 

#21, 12/24/23, Seahawks at Titans

  • Play against road teams averaging 70-95 rushing yards per game when playing against a team with an average rushing defense allowing 95-125 rushing yards per game, after being out rushed by 75 or more yards in two straight games. This system is 53-22 = 70.7% ATS since 1983.
  • Greg's Christmas Eve system is on the Titans +3.5 @ -110, (20-17,) WON.

 

#20, 12/17/23, Texans at Titans

  • Play on favorites winning 25 % to 40% of their games after covering the spread in two out of their last three games and playing a team with a winning record. This system is 51-21 = 71% ATS since 1983.
  • Greg's Sunday system is on the Titans -3 @ -115, (19-16,) lost .

 

#19, 12/10/23,Bills at Chiefs

  • Play road teams that are outscoring their opponents by 4 or more games to stay under the total after allowing 30 or more points in their last game. This system is 27-64 = 70.3% UNDER the past 10 seasons.
  • Greg's Sunday system is for the Bills and Chiefs under the total of 49 @ -105, (20-17,) WON.

 

#18, 12/03/23, Broncos at Texans

  • In the second half of the season play any team over the total, (applies to Houston,) when off an extremely close loss by 3 points or less to a division rival. This system is
    (29-06 = 83% over the last five seasons.
  • Greg's Sunday system is for Denver and Houston to sail over 47 points, (22-17,) lost.

 

#17, 11/26/23, Browns at Broncos

  • From game nine out, play against a team scoring 18-23 points per game, (applies yo Denver,) when they're playing against an average defensive team allowing 18-23 points per game after two straight wins by 3 points or less. This system is 27-06 = 82% ATS since 1983.
  • Greg's Sunday system is ON the Cleveland Browns +1.5 points at -109, (29-12,) lost.

 

#16, 11/19/23, Vikings at Broncos

  • In the second half of the season, play against an underdog winning 51% to 60% of their games  when coming off an upset win as a home underdog. This system is 25-04 = 86% ATS since 1983.
  • Greg's Sunday night system is on the Denver Broncos @ -143 on the M/L, (21-20,) WON.

 

#15, 11/12/23, 49ers at Jaguars

  •  In the second half of the season and after an upset loss as a favorite play on teams winning 60% to 75% of their games. This system is 41-15 = 73% ATS the last 10 seasons as 12-02 ATS the past three seasons.
  • Greg's Sunday system is on the 49ers -3 points @ -107, (34-03,) WON.

 

#14, 11/05/23. Vikings at Falcons

  • Play on road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points with a terrible passing defense that's allowing a comp percentage of 64% or higher, after allowing 5.5 or less passing yards per attempt in their last game. This system is 33-09 = 78.6% ATS the past five seasons.
  • Greg's Sunday system is on the Vikings +4 points @ -110, (31-28,) WON.

 

#13, 10/29/23, Jaguars at Panthers

  • When the total is between 35.5 and 42 points, in a game involving two average passing teams, with each averaging between 5.9-6.7 PYA, play the under. This system is 32-72 = 69% to the under the past five seasons.
  • Greg's Over/Under system is for the Jaguars and Steelers to stay under 41 points @ -105, (20-10,) WON.

#12, 10/29/23, Texans at Panthers

  • Play on underdogs or pick, a team that's outscored by opponents by 10 or more points per game, after allowing 40 points or more in their last game. This system is 91-47 = 66% ATS since 1983.
  • Greg's Sunday system is on the Carolina Panthers +3.5 @ -107, (15-13,) WON.

 

#11, 10/22/23, Lions at Ravens

  • After allowing 5.5 or less passing yards per attempt in their last game, play against home favorites vs. an opponent that gained 7 or more passing yards per attempt in two straight games. This system is 51-21= 71% ATS the last 10 seasons.
  • Greg's week seven side system is on the Lions +3 @ -110, (38-06,) lost.

 

#10, 10/15/23, Seahawks at Bengals

  • In weeks five through nine, play against home teams where the line is + or -3 points after a two game road trip. This system is 23-03 = 88.5% ATS the last five seasons.
  • Greg's week six side system is on the Seahawks +3 points @ -115, (17-13,) lost.

 

#09. 10/15/23, Saints at Texans

  • Play road teams winning 60 to 80% of their games UNDER the total when off a road win, and playing a team with a losing record. This system is 06-28 = 82.4% to the UNDER the past 10 seasons.
  • Greg's week six full game UNDER system is on the Saints and Texans to stay under the total of 43 points at -117, (20-13.) WON.

 

#08, 10/08/23, Bengals at Cardinals

  • In the first half of the season and following an upset loss by 10 or more points as a road favorite, (applies to the Bengals,) play the game under the total. This system is 11-35 = 76% to the under the past 10 seasons.
  • Greg's week five full game over/under system is for the Bengals and Cardinals to stay under the total of 45 points, (34-20,) lost

 

#07, 10/08/23, Ravens at Steelers

  • Play on home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points  that are outscored by 5+ PPG in the first half, after scoring 14 points or less in their last game. This system is 33-09 = 78.6% ATS the last 10 seasons.
  • Greg's week five full game side system is on the Steelers +4.5 Points, (17-10,) WON.

 

#06, 10/05/23, Bears at Commanders

  • After the first month of the season, play any team OVER the total (Washington,) when off an extremely close loss by 3 points or less to a division rival. This system is 81-42 = 66% over the past 10 seasons.
  • Greg's Thursday night week five system is for the Bears and Commanders to sail over the total of 44.5 points, (40-20,) WON.

 

#05, 10/01/23, Dolphins at Bills

  • After allowing 5.5 or less passing yards per attempt in their last game play against home teams vs. an opponent after they gained 7 or more passing yards per attempt in three straight games. This system is 27-05 = 84.4% ATS the past 10 seasons.
  • Greg's Sunday week four system is on the Dolphins +3 @ -120, (48-20,) lost.

 

#04, 09/28/23, Lions at Packers

  • After trailing in their previous game by 14 or more points at the half, play home teams under the total when the O/U is between 42.5 and 49 points when the host team is averaging 23-27 PPG and playing against an average defensive team that's allowing 18-23 PPG. This system is 17-45 = 72.6% to the UNDER since 1983.
  • Greg's week four Thursday night system is for the Lions and Packers to stay under 46 points @ -110, (34-20,) lost.

 

#03, 09/24/23, Texans at Jaguars

  • In the first month of the season and after one or more consecutive loses, play against home favorites. This system is 83-34 =71% ATS the last five seasons.
  • Greg's week three system is on the Texans +8 @ -115, (37-17,) WON

 

#02, 09/17/23, Jets at Cowboys

  • In the month of September, and after a blowout win vs. a division rival of 21 or more points, (applies to Dallas,) play the game over the total This system is 51-18 = 74% to the OVER since 1983 as well as 12-0 to the over the past 10 seasons.
  • Greg's week two system is on the OVER 37 points at -120, (30-10,) WON.

 

#01, 09/10/23, Raiders at Broncos

  • Play against home favorites from last season that were outscored by opponents by 4 or more points per game, versus division opponents. This system is43-16 = 73% ATS since 1983.
  • Greg's week one system is on the Las Vegas Raiders +3.5 points, (17-16,) WON

 

______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

 

Regular Season 2022-2023

18, 01/07/23, Texans at Colts

  • In the month of January play against road teams after one or more consecutive losses. This system is 85-43 = 66.4% ATS since 1983.
  • Greg's system is on the Colts at -135 on the M/L, (32-31,) lost.

 

17, 01/01/23, Bears at Lions

  • In the second half of the season play against home favorites with a winning percentage of 40% to 49% after covering the spread in six or seven out of their last 8 games. his system is 27-05 = 84.4% ATS since 1983.
  • Greg's system is on the Bears +6 points @ -105, (41-10,) lost.

 

16, 12/24/22, Eagles at Cowboys

  • Play against home favorites of -3.5 to -10 points after sailing over the total by 21 or more combined points in their last three games. This system is 55-24 = 69.6% ATS since 1983.

    I've invested in the Eagles at +4.5 points.

  • Greg's system is on the Eagles +4.5 points @ -105, (20-17,) WON

 

15, 12/18/22, Chiefs at Texans

  • In the month of December, play road teams under the total when the O/U is between 42.5 and 49 points after failing to cover the spread in two out of their last three games, in December games. This system is 51-91 = 64.6% to the under the past 10 seasons.
  • Greg's system is for the Chiefs and Texans to stay under the total of 49 points @ -116, (30-24,) lost

 

#14, 12/11/22, Chiefs at Broncos

  • From game nine onward, when the total is between 42.5 and 49 points, play road teams averaging 7.3 or more PYA when playing against an average passing team, 5.9 to 6.7 PYA. This system is 06-25 = 80.6% to the UNDER the last five seasons.
  • Greg's system is for the Chiefs/Broncos to stay under 44 points @ -105, (34-28,) lost.

 

#13, 12/04/22, Browns at Texans

  • When the total is between 42.5 and 49 points, play teams that are outscored by 4 or more points per game, UNDER the total after scoring 17 or less points in two straight games. This system is 20-51 = 72% to the UNDER the past five seasons.
  • Greg's system is on the under at 47 points @ -118 in the Browns and Texans game, (27-14,) WON.

 

#12, 11/27/22, Chargers at Cardinals

  • In the second half of the season play any team OVER the total when off an extremely close loss by 3 points or less to a division rival. This system is 32-06 = 84% to the over the last five seasons.
  • Greg's NFL system is for the Chargers and Cardinals to sail over the total of 48.5 points, (25-24,) WON.

 

#11, 11/20/22, Jets at Dolphins

  • Play against home favorites of -3.5 to -10 points after a game where they forced one or less turnovers. This system is 19-13 ATS this season as well as 146-85 = 63% ATS the past five seasons and +52.50-units.
  • Greg's Sunday system is on the NY Jets +3.5 points 2 -110, (10-03,) lost

 

#10, 11/13/22, Browns at Dolphins

  • In the month of November and after failing to cover the spread in three out of their last four games, play against favorites of -3.5 to -9.5 points. This system is 26-03 = 89.7% ATS the past five seasons.
  • Greg's week 10 system is on the Cleveland Browns +3.5 @ -105, (39-17,) lost.

 

#09, 11/06/22, Raiders at Jaguars

  • Play on road favorites winning between 25% to 40% of their games when off an upset loss as a favorite and playing a team with a losing record. This system is 40-12 = 77% ATS since 1983.
  • Greg's week nine system is on the Las Vegas Raiders @ -125 on the money line, (27-20,) lost.

 

#08, 10/30/22, Dolphins at Jets

  • In weeks five through nine play on underdogs or pick after 4 or more consecutive wins. This system is 22-05 = 81.5% ATS the past 10 seasons.
  • Greg's week eight system is on the New York Jets +3 @ -130, (22-17,) lost

 

#07, 10/23/22, Falcons at Bengals

  •  Play against favorites of -3.5 to -10 points that are off two consecutive games when forcing one or less turnovers and they're playing against an opponent that's off three consecutive games when committing one or less turnovers we are 32-06 ATS = 84% ATS the past five seasons.
  • Greg's week seven system is on the Atlanta Falcons +7 @ -130, (35-17,) lost

 

#06, 10/16/22, Panthers at Rams

  • Play on road underdogs, including pick, after a game where they committed one or less turnovers when playing against an opponent that's off two consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse. This system is 35-08 = 81.4% ATS the past five seasons.
  • Greg's week six system is on the Carolina Panthers +10.5 @ -110, (24-10,) lost.

 

#05, 10/09/22, Steelers at Bills

  • After gaining 400 or more total yards per game in their last three games, play against -favorites who are out gaining their opponents by 0.75 or more yard per play.
    This system is 52-13 = 80% ATS the last 5 seasons.
  • Greg's week five system is on the Steelers +14.5 @ -120, (38-03,) lost.

 

#04, 10/02/22, Broncos at Raiders

  • Play against road team off an upset win as a home underdog, with a winning record on the season. This system is 132-77 = 64.3% ATS since 1983.
  • Greg's system is on the LA Raiders @ -125 on the M/L, (when he invested on the Raiders, (32-23,) WON

 

#03, 09/25, Lions at Vikings

  • When the O/U is greater than or equal to 49.5 points play home teams UNDER after allowing 8 or more passing yards per attempt in their last game. This system is 22-53 = 70.7% to the under the last five seasons.
  • Greg's week three system is for the Lions and Vikings to stay under the total of 52.5 points @ -105, (28-24,) WON.

 

#02, 09/18, Bucs at Saints

  • In the first month of the season, and after closing out last season wit four or more wins in their last five games, play on home teams who are off a win vs. division rival, This system is 41-15 = 73% ATS since 1983.
  • Greg's system is on the New Orleans Saints +# @ -130, (20-10,) lost.

 

01, 09/11,22, Ravens at NY Jets

  • In the first two weeks on the season, (and when the total is between 42.5 and 49 points,) play the UNDER after a team closed out last season with six or more losses in their last eight games and they are playing against an opponent that also closed out last season with six or more losses in their last eight games. This system is 08-30 - 79% to the UNDER since 1983.
  • Greg's system is for the Ravens and Jets to stay under the total of 44 points @ -105, (24-09,) WON.

 

2021-2022

15-08 ATS = 65.2% ATS

 

#23, 02/13/22, Bengals vs. Rams

  • When the total is between 42.5 and 49 points play the under when a team is off a home no-cover and won as a favorite and playing against an opponent off an upset win as a road underdog. This system is 17-46 = 73% to the under since 1983.
  • Greg's Sunday system is for the Rams/Bengals to stay under 49 points @ -118, (23-20,) WON. 
     

#22, 0130/22, Bengals at Chiefs, (3:00 ET)

  • Play against favorites averaging 385 or more total yards per game, after gaining 450 or more total yards per game in their last three games. This system is 33-07 = 82.5% ATS.
  • Greg's Sunday system is on the Cincinnati Bengals +7.5 @ -115, (27-24,) WON.
     

 

#21, 01/22/22, Bengals at Titans, (4:30 ET)

  • Play home teams OVER the total off a non-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite and playing against an opponent off a home win. This system is 32-08 = 80% the past five seasons.
  • Greg's Saturday system is for the Bengals/Titans over 47 @ -119, (19-16,) lost

 

#20, 01/16/22 at 4:30 ET

49ers at the Cowboys

  • From game nine onward, play on road teams in a game involving two excellent offensive teams with each gaining 370 or more  YPG) after 8+ games, after out gaining an opponent by 100 or more total yards in their previous game. This system is33-10 = 77% ATS the last 10 seasons.
  • Greg's Sunday system is on the 49ers +3.5 @ -120, (23-17,) WON.

 

#19. 01/09 at 8:20 ET

Chargers at the Raiders

  • Play against road teams allowing 24 or more points per game, after scoring 25 or more points in four straight games when the line is + or -3 points. This system is 22-04 = 84.6% ATS since 1983.
  • Greg's Sunday system is on the LA Raiders +3 points, (35-32,) WON

 

#18, 01/02 at 4:05 ET

Broncos at Chargers

  • Following a straight up road loss by 10 or more points as a favorite, play any team under the total vs. a division opponent. This system is 06-33 = 84.6% to the under the past 10 seasons.
  • Greg's Sunday's system is on the Broncos and Chargers to stay under 45.5 points, (34-13,) lost.

 

17, 12/26 at 1:00 ET

Buccaneers at Panthers

  • Play home teams with a poor passing defense to stay under the total vs. a team allowing a comp percentage of 60% or worse, after gaining 4.5 or less passing yards per attempt in their last game. This system is 32-69 = 68% to the under the last five seasons.
  • Greg's Sunday system is for the Bucs and Panthers to stay under 43.5 points, (32-08,) WON.

 

#16, 12/19/21 at 1:00 ET

Titans at Steelers

  •  Play against all Conference teams where the line is + or -3 points, (Titans,) after going under the total by 35 or more total points in their last five games. This system is 70-36 = 66% ATS the last 10 seasons.
  • Greg's Sunday system is on the Pittsburgh Steelers at -117 on the M/L, (19-10,) WON.

 

#15, 12/12/21 at 1:00 ET

Ravens at the Browns

  •  Play against all Conference teams when the line is + or -3 points, (Ravens,) after going under the total by 35 or more total points total in their last five games, This system is 69-33 = 67.6% ATS the last 10 seasons.
  • Greg's Sunday system is on the Cleveland Browns @ -128 on the M/L, (24-22,) WON.

 

#14, 12/05/21 at 1:00 ET

Chargers at Bengals

  • Play on any team after three or more consecutive losses ATS, (Chargers,) when the line is + or -3 points and they're playing against an opponent that's off two or more consecutive wins ATS. This system is 35-07 = 83% ATS the last 10 seasons.
  • Greg's Sunday system is on the LA Chargers +3 @ -105, (41-22,) WON.

 

#13, 11/28/21 at 1:00 ET

Buccaneers at Colts

  • Play against road favorites that are out gaining opponents by 70 or more passing yards per game, after allowing 5.5 or less passing yards per attempt in their last game. This system is 84-42 = 66.7% ATS since 1983.
  • Greg's Sunday system is on the Indianapolis Colts +3.5 @ -125, (38-31,) lost.

 

#12, 11/21/21 at 1:00 ET

Saints at Eagles

  • In the second half of the season play against home favorites after having won two out of their last three games, with a winning percentage of between 40% to 49% in the second half of the season. This system is 31-06 = 84% ATS the last 10 seasons.
  • Greg's Sunday system is on the New Orleans Saints +3 @ -115, (49-29,) lost.

 

#11, 11/14/21 at 4:25 ET

Eagles at Broncos

  • After three or more OVERS, play against underdogs, (including pick,) that average 24 or more points per game. This system is 36-14 = 72% ATS the last five seasons.
  • Greg's Sunday system is on the Denver Broncos -1.5 points @ -105, (30-13,) lost.

 

#10, 11/07/31 at 1:00 ET

Packers at Chiefs

  • Play on underdogs or pick after a game where they committed no turnovers and playing against an opponent that's off two consecutive games with a turnover margin of -1 or worse. This system is 22-02 = 92% ATS the past five seasons as well as 13-0 ATS the past three seasons.
  • Greg's Sunday system is on the Packers +7.5 points @ -105, (13-07,) WON.

 

#09, 10/31/21 at 4:25 ET

Buccaneers at Saints

  • Play against favorites averaging 385 or more total yards per game, after gaining 450 or more total yards per game in their last three games. This system is 31-07 = 81.6% ATS the last five seasons and 21-03 = 87.5% ATS the past three seasons.
  • Greg's Sunday system is on the Saints +5 @ -115, (36-27,) WON.

 

#08, 10/24/21 at 8:20 ET

Colts at 49ers

  • Following a road loss play against home teams winning 40% to 49% when hosting a team winning 25% to 40% of their games. This system is 57-21 = 73% ATS since 1983.
  • Greg's Sunday system is on the Colts +4 @ -105, (30-18,) WON.

 

#07, 10/17/21 at 1:00 ET

LA Chargers at Ravens

  • Following a no-cover win where the team won as a favorite, play the OVER vs. an opponent off a home win.
    This system is 29-07 = 80.6% over the last five seasons.
  • Greg's Sunday system is for the Chargers and Ravens to sail over 50 points @ -115 at Matchbook Sports, (34-06,) lost.

 

#06, 10/14/21 at 8:10 ET

Bucs at Eagles

  • After two or more consecutive wins and an O/U that is 49.5 or more points, play winning teams UNDER the total, (applies to the Bucs,) when they're playing a losing team. This system is 08-30 = 79% to the under the past five seasons with an average total in this system of 52.5 vs. an average combined score of 47.8 points.
  • Greg's Thursday night week six system is for the Bucs and Eagles to stay under 53 points, (28-22,) WON

 

#05, 10/10/21 at 4:25 ET

Giants at Cowboys

  • Play against home favorites averaging 255 or more passing yards per game after gaining 7 or more passing yards per attempt in three straight games. This system is 42-13 = 76.4% ATS the last five seasons.
  • Greg's week five system is on the New York Giants +7 @ -105, (44-20,) lost

 

#04, 10/03/21 at 1:00 ET

Browns at Vikings

  •  Play against all teams where the line is +3 or -3 points, (Vikings,) with a terrible defense allowing 360 or more total yard per game, after gaining 400 or more total yards in two consecutive games. This system is 25-05 ATS and 83.3% the last five seasons.
  • Greg's week 4 system is on the Browns @ -113 on the Money Line, (14-07,) WON

 

#03, 09/26/21 at 1:00 ET

Bears at the Browns

  • Play any team OVER the total when off a no-cover but won straight up as a favorite, (applies to the Browns,) when playing against an opponent that's off a home win.
    This system is 44-09 = 83% to the over the last five seasons and +34.10-units.
  • Greg's week 3 system is for the Bears and Browns to sail over the total of 44.5 points @ -105, (26-06,) lost.

 

#02, 09/19/21 at 1:00 ET

49ers at Eagles

  • Play against home teams that allowed 24 or more points per game last season, after scoring 30 or more points in their last game. This system is 31-08 = 70.5% ATS since 1983.
  • Greg's week 2 system in on the 49ers -2.5 points @ -125, (17-11,) WON.
     

01, 09/12/21 @ 1:00 ET

Jaguars at the Texans

  • Play on division underdogs or pick that averaged 360 or more total yards per game. This system is 24-05 = 83% ATS the last 10 seasons.
  • Greg's week one system is on the Houston Texans +3 @ -105, (37-21,) WON.