goodbadpt2

The Good, The Bad & The Ugly.
Part Two.

Situation # 2, Chart B.

When is a good time to wager ON a bad team? This scenario features two bad teams; each started the season at 0 – 3 straight up. This game certainly won’t be the marquee Fox or CBS broadcast on a Sunday afternoon. Often the odds maker hangs a number up that is around 3-points for the home team. Do you really think a team that’s 0 – 3 have any home field advantage? Exactly.

When a team started the season at 0 – 3 straight up and are a week 4 road dog Vs a foe that’s also 0 – 3 straight up; play on the road dog.

This is a good time to take the points. You have a team that is winless and a road dog in week 4 playing a home team that’s also 0 – 3 straight up. Even though it’s early in the season, it won’t take long for the boo-birds to start chirping if the home team falls behind.

Not a lot of plays in this chart either but the road dogs are 7 – 1 ATS. With a limited amount of occurrences, I would never base a play solely on this chart. Of interest is the fact that 5 out of the 8 games happened since 1994. The free agency movement began in 1993. Remember that most gamblers like to play the favorites.

N/P in the line box for the early year’s means not published. I am working on two books containing the NFL point-spread history. Stay tuned!

7 – 1 ATS when playing on the road team.

#	0 - 3 Team Scores	Year	Wk	Play On Team	Line	Site	Opponent	Score	ATS
1.	16 – 30, 13 – 23, 07 – 31	1975	4	G. B. Packers	N/P	at	Saints	19 – 20	won
2.	34 – 40, 19 – 28, 14 – 26	1979	4	Saints	N/P	at	S. F. 49ers	30 – 21	won
3.	10 – 20, 06 – 10, 07 – 17	1983	4	Bengals	+ 2	at	Buccaneers	23 – 17	won
4.	20 – 28, 10 – 27, 28 – 31	1994	4	Bengals	+ 8½	at	Oilers	13 – 20	won
5	22 – 24, 13 – 17, 24 – 27	1995	4	N. O. Saints	+ 3	at	N. Y. Giants	29 – 45	lost
6.	20 – 23, 00 – 27, 10 – 31	1996	4	N. Y. Giants	+ 2	at	N. Y. Jets	13 – 06	won
7.	13 – 20, 10 – 38, 00 – 31	1996	4	Cardinals	+ 7½	at	Saints	28 – 14	won
8.	28 – 30, 03 – 17, 20 – 27	1999	4	New York Jets	+ 5½	at	Broncos	21 – 13	won